Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.143196 0.174624 0.208677 0.248019 0.291928 0.339152 0.393506
2025-03-09 0.098501 0.139165 0.187184 0.246827 0.317720 0.398181 0.495295
2025-03-16 0.064864 0.107905 0.163552 0.237694 0.330987 0.441847 0.580924
2025-03-23 0.048631 0.094307 0.158319 0.248677 0.367506 0.513587 0.701958
2025-03-30 0.033473 0.077794 0.145751 0.247592 0.387455 0.564989 0.799746
2025-04-06 0.023055 0.065181 0.135947 0.248141 0.408309 0.617303 0.899543
2025-04-13 0.016576 0.057056 0.131144 0.254533 0.436474 0.679240 1.012597
2025-04-20 0.012128 0.051089 0.128508 0.263271 0.467614 0.745436 1.132217
2025-04-27 0.008636 0.045541 0.125376 0.270443 0.496237 0.808543 1.248748
2025-05-04 0.005365 0.038353 0.117620 0.268975 0.511510 0.853285 1.341450
2025-05-11 0.003509 0.033948 0.114295 0.274195 0.536495 0.911594 1.452889
2025-05-18 0.001877 0.028282 0.106923 0.271388 0.548579 0.951620 1.539948
2025-05-25 0.000613 0.021100 0.094169 0.257668 0.543128 0.967052 1.594800
2025-06-01 0.000240 0.018185 0.090984 0.261265 0.565235 1.022545 1.705633
2025-06-08 0.000029 0.014069 0.083049 0.254563 0.569875 1.052308 1.780989
2025-06-15 0.000005 0.013345 0.084930 0.267731 0.607998 1.132273 1.927791
2025-06-22 NaN 0.010975 0.080664 0.267579 0.623351 1.178354 2.027293
2025-06-29 NaN 0.009103 0.077247 0.268736 0.640752 1.227628 2.131792
2025-07-06 NaN 0.008081 0.076590 0.275813 0.668566 1.293068 2.260051
2025-07-13 NaN 0.007388 0.076994 0.285227 0.700647 1.365390 2.398823
2025-07-20 NaN 0.006612 0.076691 0.292906 0.729753 1.433481 2.532147
2025-07-27 NaN 0.005237 0.072715 0.291431 0.742142 1.475728 2.628417
2025-08-03 NaN 0.004530 0.071707 0.296974 0.767375 1.538258 2.754703